Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.029445 0.031757 0.034177 0.036901 0.039887 0.043063 0.046702
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.025671 0.028977 0.032629 0.036975 0.042023 0.047723 0.054679
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.022735 0.026539 0.030911 0.036336 0.042926 0.050721 0.060714
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.020705 0.024829 0.029723 0.036006 0.043926 0.053666 0.066687
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.019075 0.023396 0.028664 0.035628 0.044687 0.056210 0.072196
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.017534 0.021920 0.027392 0.034808 0.044723 0.057712 0.076331
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.016707 0.021269 0.027088 0.035164 0.046255 0.061208 0.083345
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.015831 0.020481 0.026529 0.035106 0.047169 0.063867 0.089328
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.015241 0.020023 0.026362 0.035539 0.048751 0.067516 0.096981
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.014442 0.019229 0.025678 0.035185 0.049158 0.069460 0.102187
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.013785 0.018589 0.025162 0.035020 0.049800 0.071755 0.108064
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.013146 0.017935 0.024584 0.034718 0.050195 0.073669 0.113443
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.012677 0.017504 0.024307 0.034850 0.051267 0.076714 0.120956
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.012067 0.016840 0.023655 0.034376 0.051360 0.078210 0.125989
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.011440 0.016121 0.022883 0.033669 0.051029 0.078977 0.129802
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.010962 0.015598 0.022377 0.033340 0.051274 0.080685 0.135381
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.010512 0.015096 0.021877 0.032988 0.051447 0.082266 0.140835
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.009994 0.014469 0.021155 0.032238 0.050904 0.082569 0.143922
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.009770 0.014280 0.021100 0.032563 0.052189 0.086126 0.153443
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.009471 0.013962 0.020827 0.032510 0.052811 0.088534 0.160934
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.009290 0.013821 0.020825 0.032905 0.054233 0.092474 0.171807
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.008963 0.013435 0.020414 0.032582 0.054353 0.094006 0.177900
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.008692 0.013126 0.020113 0.032432 0.054771 0.096115 0.185368